RL
ReShape Lifesciences Inc. (RSLS)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue declined to $2.155M (down ~$0.6M YoY) as GLP-1 adoption pressured bariatrics; gross margin was 59.8% vs 75.1% a year ago, while Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(2.9)M from $(4.2)M YoY .
- Management announced a 2024 cost reduction program of ~$(8)M (>40% OpEx cut vs 2023), cumulatively ~$(22)M (70%) core OpEx reductions from 2022–2024; cash was $1.5M at quarter-end with an additional $2.8M raised in October to extend runway .
- Strategic pipeline and commercial catalysts: Lap-Band 2.0 Flex PMA supplement filed in June; approval expected by year-end or early 2024; Obalon balloon licensed to Biorad in South Asia ($200k upfront; 4% royalty) .
- Near-term stock drivers: FDA decision on Lap-Band 2.0 Flex, execution of >40% 2024 OpEx cuts, proof that AI-driven lead gen (Hive) can offset GLP-1 headwinds, and milestones on Obalon international relaunch and M&A exploration (Maxim mandate) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Cost discipline accelerated: “cost reductions totaling approximately $8 million for 2024… over 40% reduction in operating expenses,” with core OpEx down 37% YoY in Q3 and ~$22M (70%) trimmed 2022–2024 .
- Commercial pipeline progress: Lap-Band 2.0 Flex PMA supplement submitted; approval expected by year-end or early 2024; “will be a growth catalyst” per management .
- International optionality: Biorad Obalon license ($200k upfront; 4% royalty) opens South Asia route; management sees it as a first step toward global relaunch .
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What Went Wrong
- Demand headwinds: GLP-1 adoption reduced Lap-Band volumes in U.S. and OUS, driving Q3 revenue down ~$0.6M YoY to $2.155M and compressing gross margin to 59.8% vs 75.1% YoY .
- Scale pressure on margins: Lower volume was primary driver of gross margin decline; absolute gross profit fell to $1.288M from $2.101M YoY .
- Liquidity tightness: Cash fell to $1.449M at quarter-end, necessitating October raise; company remains debt-free but reliant on cost actions and future growth catalysts .
Financial Results
Notes:
- Management cited GLP-1 adoption as the primary driver of lower U.S. and international sales and lower gross margin due to volume deleverage .
- Company raised ~$2.8M net in October and remains debt-free .
Segment breakdown: The company does not provide segment-level revenues in the press releases/8-K; performance is discussed at the consolidated level .
KPIs and non-GAAP
- Adjusted EBITDA improved YoY to $(2.905)M (from $(4.248)M); 9M’23 Adjusted EBITDA loss $(11.980)M vs $(19.202)M in 9M’22 .
- Non-GAAP adjustments include interest income/expense, taxes, D&A, stock-based comp, impairments, (gain)/loss on disposal, and warrant fair value changes .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Cost reductions totaling approximately $8.0 million, representing over 40% reduction in operating expenses for 2024… core operating expense reductions between 2022 and 2024 are estimated at $22 million, or 70%.” — Paul Hickey, CEO .
- “We anticipate receiving FDA approval for the Lap-Band 2.0 Flex later this year or early in 2024… a growth catalyst for the Lap-Band franchise.” — Paul Hickey, CEO .
- “Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss was $2.9 million for [Q3 2023]… highest gross margin percentage in any quarter this year as some of our cost reductions had a positive impact on gross margins.” — Tom Stankovich, CFO .
- SAB view on GLP-1s: “GLP-1s… will ultimately increase the number of patients who would consider surgery… combination therapy… including the Lap-Band.” — Dr. Caroline Apovian –.
Q&A Highlights
- GLP-1 timeline and demand: SAB physician cited significant patient backlog and limited specialist capacity; GLP-1s help destigmatize obesity and can channel higher-BMI patients to surgery over time; combination therapy with Lap-Band is practiced post-plateau –.
- Obalon South Asia rollout: Project kicked off; teams engaged; likely first part of 2024 for initial commercialization milestones given knowledge transfer and validation timing .
- Cost cuts one-time charges: Management does not expect material Q4 charges; some modest severance accruals are anticipated .
- FDA process: PMA supplement under review; management expects active interaction and approval by YE’23/early ’24 .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for RSLS was not available at the time of analysis; the company has limited/zero analyst coverage. As a result, no vs-consensus comparisons are provided.
- Company did not issue quantitative revenue or margin guidance; commentary remains directional regarding revenue recovery and cost reductions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cost-out is the near-term lever: >40% 2024 OpEx cut (~$8M) and cumulative ~70% core OpEx reduction 2022–2024 materially de-risk cash burn; October raise adds runway .
- Catalyst path: FDA decision on Lap-Band 2.0 Flex (YE’23/early ’24) and visible launch plans could be the principal stock catalyst in the next 1–2 quarters .
- Commercial execution watchpoints: Demonstrate that AI-led demand gen (Hive) can lift consults/conversions enough to offset GLP-1 headwinds; early anecdotes are constructive, but sustained revenue inflection is key .
- Strategic optionality: Biorad license offers initial non-U.S. monetization; M&A/partnership exploration via Maxim could accelerate scale if executed prudently .
- Risk balance: GLP-1 adoption remains a headwind to near-term Lap-Band demand and gross margin via volume; liquidity requires disciplined execution of cost plan and timely catalysts .
- Monitoring list: (1) FDA outcome & launch timing for Lap-Band 2.0 Flex, (2) Q4’23/Q1’24 revenue progression vs directional guide, (3) OpEx run-rate realization and cash trends, (4) Obalon/Biorad milestones, (5) any M&A updates .